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Taylor Rule Calculator.
Estimate a policy rate from inflation and output gaps using explicit parameters.
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Cite this calculator
Canonical URL: https://mathify.one/fr/finance/taylor-rule
Cite as: Mathify. (2026). Calculatrice: Taylor Rule. https://mathify.one/fr/finance/taylor-rule
Use Cases
Monetary Policy Analysis
Students, economists, and analysts can use this calculator to estimate what policy rate a central bank might set based on current economic conditions.
Example: If inflation is 3%, target is 2%, output gap is 1%, and neutral rate is 2%, the estimated policy rate is 5%.
Economic Forecasting
Financial professionals can quickly gauge potential interest rate movements by plugging in projected inflation and output gap figures.
Example: Forecast inflation at 2.5%, target 2%, output gap -0.5%, neutral rate 1.5% yields a policy rate of 2.25%.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the Taylor Rule?
- The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline that suggests how central banks should adjust interest rates in response to inflation and economic output. It calculates a target policy rate based on the neutral real rate, inflation gap, and output gap.
- How do I use this calculator?
- Enter the current inflation rate, the central bank's inflation target, the output gap (actual minus potential GDP as a percentage), and the neutral real interest rate. The calculator then applies the standard Taylor Rule formula to estimate the appropriate policy rate.
- What is the output gap?
- The output gap is the difference between actual GDP and potential GDP, expressed as a percentage of potential GDP. A positive gap means the economy is above capacity, while a negative gap indicates slack.
Tips & Common Mistakes
Tips
- Ensure you use consistent units: inflation and target should be in the same percentage terms (e.g., both as annual rates).
- The output gap should be entered as a percentage, with positive values for above-potential output and negative for below-potential.
- The neutral real rate is the rate consistent with full employment and stable inflation; use estimates from central banks or economic research.
- This calculator uses the standard Taylor rule with equal weights on inflation and output gaps; other variations may yield different results.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Using nominal interest rates instead of real rates for the neutral rate – the Taylor rule uses the real neutral rate.
- Entering the output gap as a decimal (e.g., 0.01) instead of a percentage (1).
- Confusing the inflation target with the current inflation rate – they are distinct inputs.
Last updated: August 13, 2026